Recent Tariffs Are Doubling Fashion Return Costs: Here's Your Practical Solution

New tariffs will affect one-third of all goods entering the US. This change creates a ripple effect throughout the fashion retail industry. American consumers could pay, with clothing and footwear prices rising the most between $800 to $1000 more per person annually.
The latest tariffs have raised concerns in the fashion industry where return costs already burden retailers. The newly implemented (February 4th 2025) 20 percent tariff on Chinese imports could trigger double-digit price increases across retail categories. Businesses now face pressure to streamline their operations, but technology offers hope. Size advisor tools help retailers reduce returns and keep costs down in these challenging times.
Current State of Fashion Returns
“Widespread tariff actions on Mexico, Canada, and China announced this evening will inject massive costs into our inflation-weary economy while exposing us to a damaging tit-for-tat tariff war that will harm key export markets that U.S. farmers and manufacturers need" — Steve Lamar, President and CEO of American Apparel and Footwear Association.
The fashion industry is struggling with return processing costs that have reached USD 33.00 per item [1]. Online apparel return rates average 24.4%, which means $38B in returns and $25B in processing costs for 2023 [1].
Retailers now face a complex cost structure due to recent tariffs. The new 20% tax on Chinese imports, along with existing duties, has pushed for some Chinese imports combined duties beyond 45% [3] . Retailers must now find ways to handle these higher costs while dealing with their already heavy return expenses.
Industry-wide effect
These tariffs have created waves throughout the fashion retail ecosystem. Here's what's happening:
- Consumer spending power has dropped by $46B to $78B yearly [4]
- Apparel prices have jumped by 12.5% [4]
- Each SKU might see margins shrink by 8-10% [3]
Size and fit problems remain the biggest reason for returns at 53% of all online apparel returns [1]. Color mismatches make up 16% of returns, while damage accounts for 10% [1]. These problems, combined with the new tariff structure, leave retailers with two choices: absorb costs through vertical integration or pass them to customers [3].
Small brands and independent designers feel the pinch more deeply because they can't quickly adjust their supply chains [3]. Right now, 98% of apparel companies offer free shipping on returns [1]. This practice might not last under the new tariff system.
Price sensitivity of consumers, as cost of goods increase, will reduce impulse buys and make shoppers more deliberate in their purchases. Higher costs will also yield heightened post-purchase dissonance (consumers who second guess their purchases). All of this will likely lead to an increase in return rates.
Technology Solutions That Work
"63% of shoppers admit to doing mass bracketing returns, or buying more than one size of the same item to return it later" —Narvar, Post-purchase experience platform.
Smart technology solutions have emerged as powerful tools to curb rising return costs in the fashion industry. The virtual fitting room market, currently valued at $4B, is projected to reach $18B by 2030 [5].
Virtual fitting rooms
Virtual fitting rooms use advanced AI and augmented reality to create realistic try-on experiences. Retailers using this technology have reported that shoppers are 44% more likely to add items to their cart and 65% more likely to purchase after using virtual try-on features [5].
AI-powered size prediction
AI size prediction tools like Measmerize analyze multiple data points to provide accurate sizing recommendations. These systems can process:
- Anthropometric (body/size guide) and garment measurements
- Sales & returns data
- 10s of consumer live body measurements in under mere seconds
Implementing a Size Advisor can help brands reduce return rates (Measmerize users -40%), increase conversion rates (3-9x higher) and average order value (10-15%).
Customer data analytics
Data analytics forms the backbone of return reduction strategies. Retailers can identify common return triggers and address them proactively through sophisticated analysis. Machine learning algorithms have improved return prediction rates by 13.5% compared to baseline metrics, which led to an 8.3% increase in profits [8]. These insights help retailers make informed decisions about product displays and inventory management that ended up reducing return-related costs during this period of increased tariffs.
Implementing Cost-Saving Measures
Fashion retailers are taking strategic steps to counter rising tariffs as return processing costs climb to 66% of a product's price [9].
Staff training strategies
The life-blood of effective returns management lies in strengthening customer service teams. Companies now give their staff the authority to make decisions and quick to resolve return problems [10]. Training programs that focus on policy updates and common return scenarios create a feedback loop between customer service and management [10].
Process optimization steps
Retailers face mounting pressure from tariff-related costs, making streamlined reverse logistics a vital priority. Companies that put a single senior leader in charge of returns see better coordination between departments [11]. These organizations take specific steps to improve:
- Centralizing return centers to boost handling efficiency
- Scheduling batch returns to minimize shipping expenses
- Implementing AI-driven inventory management for faster processing [12]
The results have been remarkable. Processing times dropped from 3-4 days to just 3-4 hours [12]. Retailers can now sort up to 118,000 items per MSU with 400 units processed hourly by using autonomous mobile robots and RFID technology [12]. This boosted efficiency helps businesses recapture value that would otherwise be lost through faster restocking and resale cycles [12].
Future-Proofing Your Business
Fashion retailers face a critical challenge to build resilient supply chains amid unprecedented tariff pressures. Return management costs have reached $743B in 2023 [13].
Long-term strategies
Smart brands now move away from growth-at-any-cost models toward sustainable revenue approaches [14]. They need to establish multiple suppliers in different regions to protect against sudden tariff changes [1]. Retailers with diverse sourcing networks show 20% higher bottom-line growth [14].
Investment priorities
Successful retailers reduce rising return rates through:
Risk management approaches
Fashion brands now use sophisticated risk management frameworks. Scenario planning helps identify potential risks from tariff changes [1]. Companies that use data analytics for returns management see an 8.3% increase in profits through better prediction rates [11].
Success depends on building flexible operations while keeping customers happy. Retailers can reduce returns without affecting the shopping experience by creating individual-specific return policies based on customer behavior [13]. These strategic investments and proper sizing technology help fashion brands cut returns by up to 40% while encouraging sustainable growth.
Conclusion
Fashion retailers face tough challenges today. Rising tariffs have doubled return processing costs and cut into profit margins. A return rate of 24.4% combined with these increased expenses means businesses need to handle returns better to survive.
Technology provides real solutions to these problems. Size advisors work really well and can cut returns by up to 40% by predicting sizes accurately. These fit finder tools tackle the biggest reason for returns - size and fit problems. They also help retailers keep healthy margins despite pressure from tariffs.
Smart retailers know something important. When they combine size prediction technology with optimized returns processes, they create a strong shield against rising costs. These tools don't just reduce return rates. They also make customers more confident, which leads to more sales and fewer abandoned shopping carts.
Fashion brands need to protect their profits quickly. We can help you deal with tariff effects through our advanced sizing tools. Businesses that welcome these technologies now will do better in this new economic landscape.
References
[1] - https://o9solutions.com/articles/tariffs-and-the-retail-supply-chain/
[3] - https://www.glossy.co/fashion/fashions-new-trade-crisis-how-brands-are-scrambling-to-navigate-trumps-tariffs/
[4] - https://www.afslaw.com/perspectives/fashion-counsel/here-we-go-again-trump-tariffs-20-what-the-fashion-beauty-and-retail
[5] - https://www.forbes.com/councils/forbestechcouncil/2023/11/28/is-it-time-to-invest-in-a-virtual-fitting-room/
[6] - https://wwd.com/business-news/technology/returns-reduced-with-ai-powered-virtual-fitting-room-1236659622/
[7] -https://www.forbes.com/sites/pamdanziger/2024/01/14/amazon-fashion-introduces-ai-powered-fit-finder-to-get-sizes-right-and-save-on-returns/
[8] - https://mitsloan.mit.edu/ideas-made-to-matter/how-better-predictive-models-could-lead-to-fewer-clothing-returns
[9] - https://www.rtbhouse.com/blog/how-to-reduce-returns-in-fashion-and-gain-a-significant-advantage
[10] - https://www.uphance.com/blog/return-management/
[11] -https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/retail/our-insights/returning-to-order-improving-returns-management-for-apparel-companies
[12] - https://www.greyorange.com/fashion/5-ways-fashion-retailers-can-improve-their-returns-management-processes/
[13] - https://www.retaildive.com/news/retail-online-returns-reverse-logistics-challenges/737389/
[14] - https://www.the-future-of-commerce.com/2023/04/19/online-apparel-return-rate/
[15] - https://apparelmagic.com/best-practices-for-apparel-fulfillment-and-returns-management-to-increase-profit-margins/